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For individuals in the paths of potential hurricanes, the keys to minimizing deaths and property damage are preparedness and heeding the instructions local officials. If a hurricane actually threatens your area, keeping current on the latest forecasts for the storm's path and preparing to evacuate is essential. This 2010 Hurricane Season page will follow the 2010 season from preparedness, throughout the season, and in the aftermath, offering up-to-date information and resources to keep you fully informed.

• Early Predictions for 2010 Huricane Season

  Now that the holidays are over, hurricane predictors are turning their attention to the 2010 hurricane season. While the utility of long-range hurricane forecasts is debatable, weather experts continue to publish them.

  
  At the University of Miami, Professor of Meteorology Ben Kirtman is looking into the relationship between the positioning of El Nino and the severity of hurricanes in the Atlantic basin. According to Kirtman, in 2009 El Nino was located just offshore of the South Ameircan coast, which led to a mild hurricane season. In contrast, under Kirtman's theory, if El Nino moves furher off the South American coast then it will not protect the U.S. coastlines and may support the formation of more and stronger storms. http://cbs4.com/local/el.nino.hurricane.2.1338052.html

  
  One of the most eagerly anticipated forecasts comes from Dr. William Gray and Dr. Phillip Klotzbach of the Colorado State University's Tropical Meteorology Project. Issued on December 9, 2009, their initial forecast calls for a busier 2010 season than in 2009. For the first time, they are predicting a range in the numbers of storms rather than a single number. They expect 11 – 16 named storms, 6 – 8 hurricanes, and 3 – 5 major hurricanes. On April 7, 2010, June 2, 2010, and August 4, 2010, the CSU team will adjust this long-range forecast as the weather conditions become clearer. In their early forecast for 2009, Drs. Gray and Klotzbach over-estimated actual the number of hurricanes that formed. http://www.baldwincountynow.com/articles/2009/12/13/local_news/doc4b2171607d043750595889.txt http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2009/dec2009/dec2009.pdfhttp://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Includes/Documents/Forecast_Schedule.html http://www.tampabay.com/news/weather/hurricanes/2010-hurricane-season-predictions-scatter-all-over-the-map/1060165

• Earlier Warnings Issued This Year

  The U.S. National Hurricane Center will announce storm watches and warnings 12 hours earlier than in previous hurricane seasons. The earlier lead time will give those living in coastal areas more time to prepare and evacuate. Officials can give more advance warnings and watches because of advances in tracking storms and forecasting their projected paths. http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSN056675320100105?type=marketsNews

• Looking Back to 2009

  The 2009 hurricane season for the Atlantic Basic will close on November 30, 2009. There were two tropical depressions, six tropical storms, and three hurricanes. The hurricanes were Hurricane Bill (active Aug. 15-24), Hurricane Fred (active Sept. 7-12), and Hurricane Ida (active Nov. 4-9). The only two storms to strike the United States were Tropical Storm Claudette and Hurricane Ida. http://www.minnpost.com/pauldouglas/2009/11/09/13265/first_us_hurricane_landfall_of_2009_imminenthttp://www.wmfe.org/site/News2?page=NewsArticle&id=10053&news_iv_ctrl=1041

  
  The mild season can be attributed to El Nino conditions over the Pacific Ocean. El Nino produces warm Pacific waters and upper level winds that discourage conditions favorable to hurricane formation. Cooler waters in the Atlantic Ocean also inhibited hurricane formation. The 2009 season was the mildest on record since 1997. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/08/090806-hurricane-season-2009-forecast.htmlhttp://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/11/091123-hurricane-season-2009-quiet.htmlhttp://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/11/091123-hurricane-season-2009-quiet.htmlhttp://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20091119-711767.html

  
  The potential danger of a mild hurricane season is that people in storm-prone areas may become complacent because they expect the next season to be just as uneventful. Hurricanes depend on weather conditions both near and far from where the storms hit. Because weather conditions will continue to change constantly, the immediate past hurricane record cannot be relied upon as a prediction for the next season. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joseph-b-treaster/no-hurricane-worries-not_b_400089.html

• Prior Incidents

  Although hurricane forecasting is becoming more accurate, there is no computer model or formula to tell how many hurricanes will strike land during a particular season and how many of those which make landfall will be severe. For example, the 2004 season was devastating, with four severe hurricanes striking the U.S. causing loss of life and major property damage. In contrast, the 2009 season was relatively uneventful. The deadliest hurricane on record is the storm that struck and destroyed Galveston in 1901. Hurricane Katrina was the costliest hurricane, causing over $81 billion in damages.

  
  Loss of life is the primary concern when a hurricane strikes. The death toll from a hurricane season depends on how many strong storms made landfall, the vulnerability of the affected area, and the level of preparedness. An estimated 750 individuals died during the 2008 hurricane season. Pre-positioned medical supplies allow the injured to be treated more quickly when a hurricane is over. Preparedness and early response reduce the severity of injuries and the likelihood of fatalities. http://www.weatherwise.org/Archives/Back%20Issues/2009/March-April%202009/full-atlantic.html

This page provides access to a wealth of hurricane information including charts on the track of the storm plus a text based table of tracking information. The table includes position in latitude and longitude, maximum sustained winds in knots, and central pressure in millibars.

Current Tropical Satellite Images

Aviation Model Forecasts for the Atlantic